Two Identical Trades – Can You Tell Which One Is Better?

(Note: this post is adapted from the Trading Success Roadmap product I’ll be officially offering soon.)

A common mistake I see even experienced traders make is poor position sizing.

Sizing your positions thoughtfully is fundamental to any trading strategy. A poor plan for position sizing can turn an otherwise profitable trading strategy into a loser.

Take the following two hypothetical trades:

  • A) You go long 100 shares of AAPL at $186 with a stop price of $176. You exit with a profit at $190.
  • B) You go long 100 shares of AAPL at $186 with a stop price of $185. You exit with a profit at $190.

Notice how in both scenarios the outcomes are identical:

  • The same entry price
  • The same exit price
  • The same number of shares
  • The same profit of $400

But look closer and notice the important difference.

In A) your initial stop price was $10 away – if the stock went against you and hit the stop you would have lost $1000.

In B), however, your initial stop price was $1 away. In that scenario, if the stock went against you and hit the stop it would have been a $100 loss.

If you only evaluate the success of the trade based on profit, these trades look identical, but they are fundamentally different trades!

In A) you risked $1000 to make $400
In B) you risked $100 to make $400

B) was a far better trade even though the outcome was the same as A).

If you’ve ever had a big losing trade that wipes out the profits of several winning trades, there’s a good chance you aren’t sizing your positions properly.

The Trading Success Roadmap gives you a detailed blueprint for sizing your positions based on your risk.

Before I start trading any strategy, I have a required checklist of things to do to give the strategy the best chance for long-term success.

Proper position sizing is at the top of that list.

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